KARACHI: The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has issued its monsoon outlook for the Hindu Kush, Karakoram, and Himalayan mountain ranges, warning that above-normal temperatures and seasonal rainfall could increase the risk of flooding and other weather-related hazards in northern Pakistan.
According to the PMD, near-normal monsoon rainfall is expected across the country’s northern regions, including Gilgit-Baltistan, Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK), and upper Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
While rainfall is forecast to remain close to seasonal averages, meteorologists cautioned that temperatures in the Hindu Kush, Karakoram, and Himalayan ranges are likely to remain above normal during the monsoon period.
The department warned that the warmer conditions could accelerate the melting of glaciers and snow, increasing water flows in rivers and streams and raising the possibility of flood-like situations in vulnerable areas.
The PMD also highlighted additional hazards associated with the monsoon season in mountainous regions.
Heavy rainfall may trigger landslides, mudslides, and rockfalls in hilly terrain, posing risks to transportation networks, local communities, and infrastructure.
In higher-altitude and environmentally sensitive areas, the department warned of the possibility of Glacial Lake Outburst Floods (GLOFs), which occur when water from glacier-fed lakes is suddenly released due to the failure of natural ice or moraine dams. Such events can generate destructive flash floods downstream.
Given the potential for flooding, the Meteorological Department has advised people living near rivers, streams, and seasonal waterways to remain vigilant and closely monitor weather forecasts and official advisories.
Authorities have also urged local administrations and disaster management agencies to stay prepared for possible emergency situations resulting from heavy rainfall, glacier melt, or flash floods.
The monsoon outlook comes as Pakistan enters its annual rainy season, when mountain regions often face multiple weather-related challenges, including flooding, landslides, and disruptions to road connectivity.
The PMD said it will continue to monitor weather conditions and issue updated forecasts and warnings as necessary, encouraging the public to follow official guidance and take precautionary measures in areas vulnerable to flooding and other monsoon-related hazards.
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