Pakistan’s national space agency, SUPARCO, has issued its astronomical prediction regarding the birth and visibility of the Ramadan moon, indicating that the holy month is likely to begin on February 19 in Pakistan.
According to a spokesperson for SUPARCO, the new moon of Ramadan will be born on February 17 at 5:01 pm (Pakistan Standard Time). By the time of sunset on February 18, the moon’s age is expected to be approximately 25 hours and 48 minutes, making it potentially visible to the naked eye under favorable weather conditions.
The spokesperson stated that based on astronomical calculations, there is a strong possibility that the crescent will be sighted on the evening of February 18. If confirmed, the first fast of Ramadan will be observed on February 19 across Pakistan.
SUPARCO’s forecast is based on precise scientific data, including the time of conjunction (new moon birth), the moon’s age at sunset, its altitude above the horizon, and the angular separation between the sun and the moon. These factors play a critical role in determining whether the crescent can be seen with the naked eye.
The agency emphasized that while astronomical models suggest visibility on February 18, the final and official announcement regarding the sighting of the Ramadan moon will be made by the Ruet-e-Hilal Committee. The committee is responsible for collecting and verifying moon sighting testimonies from across the country before declaring the start of the Islamic month.
In Pakistan, the beginning of Ramadan traditionally depends on physical moon sighting in accordance with religious guidelines. Although scientific predictions provide guidance and improve planning, the Ruet-e-Hilal Committee’s decision remains authoritative and binding.
Ramadan is the ninth month of the Islamic lunar calendar and holds great spiritual significance for Muslims worldwide. During this month, Muslims observe fasting from dawn to sunset, engage in increased prayer, charity, and reflection, and seek spiritual growth and self-discipline.
If the crescent is sighted as predicted, Ramadan will commence on February 19, bringing with it preparations across the country, including special arrangements in mosques, markets, and homes. However, if weather conditions hinder visibility or verified testimonies are not received, the month of Sha’ban will complete 30 days, and Ramadan will begin a day later.
